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FxWirePro: AUD/USD extends choppy trade below 100-DMA, bullish divergence keeps scope for upside

  • The Aussie dollar weighed by weaker-than-expected employment data released earlier today by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS).
     
  • Australia added far fewer jobs than expected in March. Employment rose +4.9k s/adj missing expectations for a +21.0k. Unemployment rate was as forecasted at 5.5 pct s/adj.
     
  • AUD/USD retraced from 0.78 levels and is currently trading at 0.7791, bias still higher.
     
  • Aussie is struggling to maintain bullish momentum and is extending choppy trade below 100-DMA.
     
  • Technical studies are biased higher and bullish divergence on RSI and Stochs keeps scope for upside.
     
  • A series of stiff resistance seen upto  0.7815, decisive break above 100-DMA could  see further bullishness.
     
  • On the flipside, break below 21-EMA at 0.7747 negates bullish bias. 

Support levels - 0.7778 (converged 5&50 DMA), 0.7747 (21-EMA), 0.77

Resistance levels - 0.78, 0.7815 ( 200-DMA), 0.7875 (Jan 5 high)

Recommendation: Watch out for break above 200-DMA to go long. 

FxWirePro Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's Hourly AUD Spot Index was at 147.023 (Bullish), while Hourly USD Spot Index was at -26.3108 (Neutral) at 0320 GMT. For more details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex

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