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FxWirePro: AUD/USD dented after dovish RBA minutes, break below 0.74 handle to see further weakness

  • Aussie holds moderate losses after dovish RBA minutes, intraday bias neutral.
     
  • RBA minutes released earlier today showed the policymakers do not see a strong case for a near-term move in interest rates.
     
  • Policy makers said household debt risk, slow wage growth and downside risks to the global economy from trade tensions, suggest that the interest rates will likely stay at a record low of 1.5 percent for some time.
     
  • AUD/USD upside capped at 21-EMA, the pair slipped lower from session highs at 0.7425 to hit session lows at 0.7402.
     
  • Downside finds strong support at 0.74 handle and 5-DMA at 0.7409. Break below will see further weakness.
     
  • Technical indicators on daily charts have a neutral bias. That said, bullish divergence on RSI and Stochs keeps scope for upside.
     
  • Upside in the pair has been capped at 21-EMA at 0.7426. Decisive break above could see further upside.

Support levels - 0.7410 (5-DMA), 0.7360 (July 12 low), 0.7290 (trendline)

Resistance levels - 0.7492 (55-EMA), 0.75, 0.7575 (110-EMA)

FxWirePro Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's Hourly AUD Spot Index was at 157.868 (Bullish), while Hourly USD Spot Index was at -147.492 (Bearish) at 0400 GMT. For more details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex
 

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