The ATM implied volatility of 1W XAU/USD contracts are just below 17%.
The premiums of 1W ATM contracts are trading at 34.11% more than Net Present Value of these instruments, hence, contemplating this disparity with neutral bullish risk reversal we think the opportunity lies in writing a call while formulating below hedging strategy for gold's short term uncertainty at this juncture.
Gold spot has been struggling to break and sustain above the resistance at 1245-50 levels (21DMA) from last couple of days, gold plummeted from the highs of 1284.41 to the current 1235.65 levels.
Gold for June delivery on the Comex division of the NYME shed $3.90, or 0.32%, to trade at $1,233.60 a troy ounce by 12:33GMT, or 8:33AM ET.
Hedging Framework:
Strategy: 3-Way Options straddle versus OTM Call
Spread ratio: (Long 1: Long 1: Short 1)
Time frame: Short term
Rationale: Firstly, overpriced premiums when compared with 1W ATM IVs hence there exists a considerable disparity between premiums and vols and technically the price oscillating between 1245-50 to 1220 from couple days, that keeps us eye on shorting such expensive calls with shorter expiries. As a result, we capitalize on such beneficial instruments and deploy in our strategy.
Secondly, we get a clue as to why do we have to choose OTM instruments for writing when glancing on sensitivity tool, OTM strikes are on the competitive edge.
How to execute:
Go long in XAU/USD 1W At the money delta put, Go long 1W at the money delta call and simultaneously, Short 1W(1%) out of the money call with positive theta.


Bitcoin Retreats Toward Critical Support as Geopolitical Winds Shift
FxWirePro: EUR/AUD steadies around 1.6750, retains bid tone
FxWirePro- Major Pair levels and bias summary
NZDJPY Technical Outlook: Bearish Momentum Gains Traction as Kiwi Weakens
FxWirePro: AUD/USD hovers near two-month low, outlook bearish
FxWirePro- Woodies Pivot(Major)
FxWirePro- Major Crypto levels and bias summary
FxWirePro: USD/CNY hits 3-week high as safe-haven demand lifts dollar
AUD/JPY Technical Outlook: Range-Bound Trading Amidst Emerging Bearish Pressure
FxWirePro- Major European Indices
FxWirePro: USD/JPY edges higher but bulls lack punch
Dollar Dominance: USDCHF Defies Resistance Amid Greenback Surge
AUDJPY Under Pressure: Bearish Technicals Signal Further Downside for the Aussie
FxWirePro- Woodies Pivot(Major)
FxWirePro: GBP/NZD bulls struggles as upside momentum fades
NZD/JPY Technical Outlook: Bearish Momentum Gains as Resistance Holds




