Trump Signs Executive Order Threatening 25% Tariffs on Countries Trading With Iran 
Russian Stocks End Mixed as MOEX Index Closes Flat Amid Commodity Strength 
Global Markets Slide as AI, Crypto, and Precious Metals Face Heightened Volatility 
U.S.-India Trade Framework Signals Major Shift in Tariffs, Energy, and Supply Chains 
Gold and Silver Prices Slide as Dollar Strength and Easing Tensions Weigh on Metals 
Oil Prices Slide on US-Iran Talks, Dollar Strength and Profit-Taking Pressure 
Silver Prices Plunge in Asian Trade as Dollar Strength Triggers Fresh Precious Metals Sell-Off 
South Korea Assures U.S. on Trade Deal Commitments Amid Tariff Concerns 
China Extends Gold Buying Streak as Reserves Surge Despite Volatile Prices 
Dow Hits 50,000 as U.S. Stocks Stage Strong Rebound Amid AI Volatility 
Dollar Near Two-Week High as Stock Rout, AI Concerns and Global Events Drive Market Volatility 
Fed Governor Lisa Cook Warns Inflation Risks Remain as Rates Stay Steady 
RBI Holds Repo Rate at 5.25% as India’s Growth Outlook Strengthens After U.S. Trade Deal 
Trump Endorses Japan’s Sanae Takaichi Ahead of Crucial Election Amid Market and China Tensions 
Asian Stocks Slip as Tech Rout Deepens, Japan Steadies Ahead of Election 
India–U.S. Interim Trade Pact Cuts Auto Tariffs but Leaves Tesla Out 
China's 10 Trillion Yuan Stimulus Package: Insights and Implications
China is reportedly on the verge of approving the issuance of over 10 trillion yuan (approximately $1.4 trillion) in additional debt over the coming years to boost its fragile economy. This fiscal package may gain further momentum if Donald Trump wins the upcoming presidential election on November 5.
Analyst Perspectives on the Fiscal Strategy
Tommy Xie, OCBC Bank, Singapore
Xie emphasizes that the current policy is primarily focused on managing the local government's hidden debts while ensuring financial stability. He highlights concerns about the financing of the debt swap, noting that merely converting hidden debts to on-balance-sheet obligations may not suffice to enhance local government expenditures.
Gary Ng, Natixis, Hong Kong
Ng points out that while the stimulus size aligns with market expectations, it may function more as a painkiller than a true economic booster. He stresses that the timing and application of bond issuance will be crucial for assessing its impact on growth.
Alvin Tan, RBC Capital Markets, Singapore
Tan highlights that the effectiveness of the fiscal package hinges on how the debt will be utilized. If a significant portion goes toward local government debt restructuring, the net fiscal impact may be less substantial than anticipated.
Louis Kumis, S&P Global, Hong Kong
Kumis believes that the stimulus should bolster confidence and stimulate growth. However, he warns that unless funds are directed toward idle land and property, the housing market's stabilization may remain elusive.
Lynn Song, ING, Hong Kong
Song indicates that if the stimulus package is indeed approved, it could meet investor expectations, especially if a notable sum is allocated to support the property market.
Conclusion
China's potential 10 trillion yuan stimulus package aims to address pressing economic challenges. While analysts offer cautious optimism, the true efficacy of this initiative will depend on its implementation and focus areas.
