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Today the Bank of Japan decided, with an 8-1 vote split, to leave its policy rate at 1.0%. Hajime Takata objected and demanded a prompt 1.25% increase. Although the decision itself was a hold, the central bank included a significant caution that underlying inflation might surpass its 2% goal.
This hawkish attitude suggests the BOJ is getting more worried about rising pricing pressures beyond projections. The mood suggests that instead of a protracted pause, lawmakers are setting the stage for a faster recovery. Given the clear emphasis on upside inflation risks, markets saw the statement as more decisive than a simple hold.
For JPY traders, the result provides somewhat support for the yen relative to a more dovish scenario. The attention, meanwhile, turns to whether the BOJ will speed up rate increases at next meetings. As the general normalization theme keeps going, the decision is also projected to impact volatility in USD/JPY and Japanese government bond yields.
