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UK gilts slide on expectations of upbeat February consumer price inflation; investors await BoE member Haldane’s speech

The UK gilts slid Monday, following expectations of a rebound in the country’s consumer price inflation (CPI) for the month of February. Also, investors are awaiting the Bank of England’s (BoE) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) member Andy Haldane’s speech, scheduled for later in the day.

The yield on the benchmark 10-year gilts, which moves inversely to its price, rose 1-1/2 basis points to 1.25 percent, the super-long 30-year bond yields jumped nearly 2 basis points to 1.84 percent and the yield on the short-term 2-year traded over 2 basis points higher at 0.11 percent by 09:40 GMT.

The CPI rate for February is expected to have risen by at least 0.2 percentage point to reach the BoE’s target of 2.0 percent y/y for the first time since December 2013. But although CPI will remain the MPC’s target measure, the ONS will switch its headline measure of inflation to CPIH, a new index which in January has already reached 2.0 percent y/y, but is essentially CPI with just owner occupiers’ housing costs added.

Further, the central bank said that the country’s consumer price inflation is expected to rise to around 2 percent over the next few months. Moreover, it is also expected to exceed the central bank’s target materially by summer.

Meanwhile, the FTSE 100 fell 0.20 percent to 7,409.35 by 09:50 GMT, while at 09:00GMT, the FxWirePro's Hourly Pound Strength Index remained highly bullish at 106.16(a reading above +75 indicates a bullish trend, while that below -75 a bearish trend). For more details, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex

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July 21 14:30 UTC Released

USECRI Weekly Annualized*

Actual

144.8 %

Forecast

Previous

2.4 %

July 21 14:30 UTC Released

USECRI Weekly Index*

Actual

2.6 %

Forecast

Previous

143.9 %

July 24 00:30 UTC 826826m

JPForeign Direct Investm't*

Actual

Forecast

Previous

52.4 bln $

July 24 07:00 UTC 12161216m

FRMarkit Serv Flash PMI

Actual

Forecast

56.7 %

Previous

56.9 %

July 24 07:00 UTC 12161216m

FRMarkit Mfg Flash PMI

Actual

Forecast

54.6 %

Previous

54.8 %

July 24 07:00 UTC 12161216m

FRMarkit Comp Flash PMI

Actual

Forecast

56.4 %

Previous

56.6 %

July 24 07:30 UTC 12461246m

DEMarkit Service Flash PMI

Actual

Forecast

54.3

Previous

54.0

July 24 07:30 UTC 12461246m

DEMarkit Mfg Flash PMI

Actual

Forecast

59.2

Previous

59.6

July 24 07:30 UTC 12461246m

DEMarkit Comp Flash PMI

Actual

Forecast

56.3

Previous

56.4

July 24 08:00 UTC 12761276m

RUMarkit Mfg Flash PMI

Actual

Forecast

57.2 %

Previous

57.4 %

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