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UK gilts slide on expectations of upbeat February consumer price inflation; investors await BoE member Haldane’s speech

The UK gilts slid Monday, following expectations of a rebound in the country’s consumer price inflation (CPI) for the month of February. Also, investors are awaiting the Bank of England’s (BoE) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) member Andy Haldane’s speech, scheduled for later in the day.

The yield on the benchmark 10-year gilts, which moves inversely to its price, rose 1-1/2 basis points to 1.25 percent, the super-long 30-year bond yields jumped nearly 2 basis points to 1.84 percent and the yield on the short-term 2-year traded over 2 basis points higher at 0.11 percent by 09:40 GMT.

The CPI rate for February is expected to have risen by at least 0.2 percentage point to reach the BoE’s target of 2.0 percent y/y for the first time since December 2013. But although CPI will remain the MPC’s target measure, the ONS will switch its headline measure of inflation to CPIH, a new index which in January has already reached 2.0 percent y/y, but is essentially CPI with just owner occupiers’ housing costs added.

Further, the central bank said that the country’s consumer price inflation is expected to rise to around 2 percent over the next few months. Moreover, it is also expected to exceed the central bank’s target materially by summer.

Meanwhile, the FTSE 100 fell 0.20 percent to 7,409.35 by 09:50 GMT, while at 09:00GMT, the FxWirePro's Hourly Pound Strength Index remained highly bullish at 106.16(a reading above +75 indicates a bullish trend, while that below -75 a bearish trend). For more details, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex

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November 24 15:30 UTC Released

USECRI Weekly Index*

Actual

145.6 %

Forecast

Previous

145.6 %

November 24 14:45 UTC Released

US1st Half-Mth Infl YY*

Actual

54.6 %

Forecast

Previous

54.6 %

November 27 09:00 UTC 36573657m

ITExport Prices*

Actual

Forecast

Previous

111 %

November 27 09:00 UTC 36573657m

ITImport Prices*

Actual

Forecast

Previous

116.1 %

November 27 14:00 UTC 39573957m

MXTrade Balance, $*

Actual

Forecast

Previous

-1.886 Bln USD

November 27 14:00 UTC 39573957m

MXTrade Balance SA*

Actual

Forecast

Previous

-1.559 Bln USD

November 27 15:30 UTC 40474047m

USDallas Fed mfg bus index

Actual

Forecast

Previous

27.6

November 27 21:00 UTC 43774377m

KRBOK Manufacturing BSI*

Actual

Forecast

Previous

87 Bln BRL

November 28 00:00 UTC 45574557m

BRCentral Govt Balance

Actual

Forecast

Previous

-22.725 Bln BRL

November 28 07:00 UTC 49774977m

DEGDP Growth QQ* Advance

Actual

Forecast

Previous

10.7 %

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