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FxWirePro: South Africa’s rand falls against U.S. dollar, consistent close above 13.96 targets 14.15 mark

  • USD/ZAR is currently trading around 13.92 levels.
  • It made intraday high at 13.94 and low at 13.81 levels.
     
  • Intraday bias remains neutral till the time pair holds key resistance at 13.96 marks. 
     
  • A daily close above 13.96 will take the parity higher towards key resistances around 14.15, 14.36, 14.52, 14.68, 14.96, 15.05, 15.28, 15.45, 15.66, 15.77, 15.86(February 29, 2016 high) and 16.15 marks respectively.
     
  • Alternatively, a daily close below 13.81 will drag the parity down towards key supports at 13.70, 13.57, 13.37, 13.19, 13.01, 12.82 and 12.58 levels respectively.
     
  • Important to note here that 20D, 30D and 55D EMA heads down and confirms the bearish trend in a daily chart. Current upside movement is short term trend correction only.
     
  • South Africa's Central Bank governor Kganyago says bar for any future rate cuts set very high.
     
  • South Africa's Central Bank governor Kganyago says political risk reflected in the weaker exchange rate.
     
  • South Africa's Central Bank governor Kganyago says remains under threat of a credit rating downgrade.

We prefer to go short on USD/ZAR only below 13.90, stop loss 14.15 and target of 13.81/13.54.

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