Hedging sentiments in OTC markets are retrogressive to what we've been seeing from last couple of months, to keep it precise we could notice neutral to slightly bullish hedging arrangements for next 1W-1M expiries (see risk reversals for 1W-1M expiries).
The implied volatility of ATM contracts with 1w-1m expiries inching lower and underlying pair shifting in range bounded trend turns previous negative risk reversals into positive for 1 week's expiries and neutral for 1 month's expiries. We urge that this situation as a rosy opportunity short term bulls as the neural delta risk reversals for next 1m contracts.
This could be attributed as bullish momentum is intensified in the spot FX market and overpriced calls eyeing on short term upswings but keeping overall major trend to prolong bearish noises. Hence, the strategies have to be constructed so as to match this fluctuating trend.
Although we could see a little price bounces in near term as the daily chart suggests some buying interest caused by whipshaws to the previous downswings that would result in some price recoveries but we maintain our target at 1.0709 levels towards south back again in medium term, same is the OTC market indications as stated above.
As a result, we recommend building portfolio with 2 lots of long positions in 1m 0.50 delta ATM calls and 1 lot of -0.49 delta ATM puts of 3m expiries.
Hence, this EURUSD option strips strategy should take care of any abrupt upswings in short term and certain downswings and yields handsome returns on the downside in long term.
Delta of far OTM options is very small which is why we've chosen ATM instrument on call. A 1-point movement in underling pair will not have much effect on the option premium.


EUR/USD Rockets Past 1.1560 as Soft U.S. Jobs Data Fuel Fed Rate-Cut Surge
AUDJPY Rebounds on Yen Weakness – Bullish Buy Setup Above 112 Targets 115
FxWirePro: GBP/USD eases as dollar firms ahead of U.S. June non-farm payrolls report
FxWirePro- Major Crypto levels and bias summary
FxWirePro: NZD/USD retreats as Middle East instability weighs
FxWirePro : EUR/NZD holding below 38.2% fibo ahead of US data
FxWirePro: USD/JPY advances as traders test Japan's intervention resolve
FxWirePro: GBP/USD rises as weak U.S. jobs data pressures dollar
FxWirePro: EUR/ AUD neutral in the near term, scope further downside
FxWirePro: GBP/AUD under pressure after disappointing U.S. employment data
NZDJPY Bears Lie in Wait: Sell Rallies at 93 for 90 Target with 94 Stop
FxWirePro- Major Pair levels and bias summary
NZDJPY Bullish Above 93 as Yen Stumbles – Buy Signal Triggers at 93.50
AUDJPY Bears Poised: Sell Rallies at 111.55 for 108 Target with 112.20 Stop
Bitcoin Reclaims $65,000 as Easing Geopolitical Tensions Fuel Risk-On Rally




