Both Brent and WTI crude oil prices have been edgy moving in sideways. WTI dropped from yesterday’s close at $63.70 to the current $63.31 levels.
Inventories check of the U.S. crude dropped by 4.617 million barrels for the last weekend, perplexing prospects for a rise of 1.4 million barrels, according to data from the Energy Information Agency (EIA) on Wednesday.
Although oil prices have clearly rallied since last Thursday (up 7%), there is clearly a difference between the direction of front-month spreads and Brent DFL swaps.
Uphold stay long July 2018 ICE Brent and short July 2019 ICE Brent trade. We would like to take some profits on our long Brent spread and keep half of the trade open as we remain supportive of our current oil price outlook as fundamentals remain supportive.
We remain long the same Brent spread contract with a stop loss at $2.7/bbl and target of $5/bbl.
Stay long the July 2018 ICE Brent and short July 2019 ICE Brent spread at $3.46/bbl. Target of $5.00/bbl and stop loss of $2.70/bbl. Profits taken on half the trade on at $4.46/bbl, for an unrealized gain of $0.5/bbl, or 0.7% of the underlying.
Stay long December 2018 WTI $62-72 call spread: The increased geopolitical risks and the recent message from the US producers highlighting some risks to the US supply in 2018 points to some risks to US and global oil market balances in the near term.
Given the still constructive view on oil prices in the coming months, we remain happy to stay long via a call spread. This is a cautious way to gain upside exposure to higher oil prices with limited downside.
Stay long a December 2018 WTI $62.10-72/bbl call spread (net premium: $1.40/bbl). Marked to market at $1.3/bbl, for an unrealized loss of 10¢/bbl, or -0.16% of the underlying.
FxWirePro launches Absolute Return Managed Program. For more details, visit:


US Futures Rise as Investors Eye Earnings, Inflation Data, and Wildfire Impacts
Global Demand for Yuan Loans and Bonds Surges as China Pushes Currency Internationalization
Global Markets React to Strong U.S. Jobs Data and Rising Yields
Stock Futures Dip as Investors Await Key Payrolls Data
Trump’s "Shock and Awe" Agenda: Executive Orders from Day One
European Stocks Rally on Chinese Growth and Mining Merger Speculation
Robinhood Expands Sports Event Contracts With Player Performance Wagers
U.S. Banks Report Strong Q4 Profits Amid Investment Banking Surge
Wall Street Analysts Weigh in on Latest NFP Data
Moody's Upgrades Argentina's Credit Rating Amid Economic Reforms 



