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FxWirePro: AUD/CAD edges lower from 5-week highs at 0.9883, good to go long on break above 0.99

  • AUD/CAD edges lower from session highs at 0.9883, finds stiff resistance at 0.99 levels (nearly converged trendline and 100-DMA).
     
  • Technical studies support upside, break above 0.99 finds next immediate resistance at 0.9931 (38.2% Fib).
     
  • Violation there raises scope for test of 200-DMA at 1.0003. Break above 200-DMA could see continuation of upside, test of 61.8% Fib at 1.0089 then likely.
     
  • Momentum studies are bullish, RSI at 57 and biased higher. Stochs sharply higher.
     
  • We see positive DMI dominance and ADX is at 26 and rising, which supports trend higher.
     
  • On the flipside, 20-DMA at 0.9791 is strong support, weakness likely on break below.

Support levels - 0.9841 (5-DMA), 0.9833 (23.6% Fib retracement of 1.0345 to 0.9675 fall), 0.98, 0.9791 (20-DMA)

Resistance levels - 0.99 (nearly converged 100-DMA and trendline), 0.9931 (38.2% Fib retracement of 1.0345 to 0.9675 fall), 1.0003 (200-DMA)

Recommendation: Good to go long on decisive break above 0.99, SL: 0.9830, TP: 0.9930/ 1.00/ 1.0089.

FxWirePro Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's Hourly AUD Spot Index was at -146.648 (Bearish), while Hourly CAD Spot Index was at -66.6325 (Neutral) at 0700 GMT. For more details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex.

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