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FxWirePro: 20-DMA caps upside in NZD/USD, good to go long on break above

  • NZD/USD halted its two consecutive days of gains and turned back into negative territory.
     
  • Broad-based weakness seen in the greenback amid risk-off due to tensions in the Korean peninsula and over US bombing Afghanistan.
     
  • Focus remains on US datasets, including the retail sales and CPI, due later in the NA session for further impetus.
     
  • Technically, the pair has shown a decisive breakout above major trendline resistance at 0.6960.
     
  • Upside is struggling to get past the 20-DMA resistance currently at 0.7001.
     
  • Stochs are biased higher, while RSI remains neutral and below 50-levels.
     
  • We see further gains on breakout above 20-DMA, scope then for test of 0.7075 (38.2% Fib retrace of 0.7375 to 0.6890 fall).

Support levels - 0.6975 (5-DMA), 0.6960 (trendline), 0.6920 (April 10 lows)

Resistance levels - 0.7001 (20-DMA & 23.6% Fib), 0.7069 (Upper Bollinger Band), 0.7075 38.2% Fib)

TIME  TREND INDEX  OB/OS INDEX    

1H          Bearish               Neutral       
4H          Slightly bearish   Neutral       
1D          Slightly bullish    Neutral        
1W         Neutral               Neutral      

Recommendation: Good to go long on break above 20-DMA at 0.7001, SL: 0.6950, TP: 0.7075/ 0.71/ 0.7130

FxWirePro Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's Hourly NZD Spot Index was at 56.2318 (Neutral), while Hourly USD Spot Index was at -88.7331 (Bearish) at 0520 GMT. For more details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex
 

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