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USD/CNY swap points dropped sharply due to intervention

China's onshore FX swap curve collapsed in the past few days as one-year USD/CNY 1-year swap points dropped sharply to 900 hurdle compared with 1100-1200pips in the past month. This reflects that Chinese state banks borrowed and sold USD in the spot market to safeguard the currency. 

The advantage of this type of operation is that central bank does not need to sell its foreign reserves immediately. Therefore, the borrowing cost of USD picked up, which has lowered the USD/CNY swap points. 

"In the meantime, USD/CNH 1-year swap points are about 500pips higher than onshore market, and USD/CNH 1-year outright forward is about 600 pips higher than onshore market. As onshore forward points are more attractive, more Chinese corporates could tend to buy USD/CNY forward to hedge their USD liability positions", says Commerzbank.

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