US data continue to show progress and the downward pressure on the unemployment rate is set to continue. Weak labour productivity and a low participation rate should ensure lower unemployment, even with a temporary slowdown in GDP growth.
The job growth is expected at 205,000 in August, which is in line with consensus. Overall, labour market indicators released lately have been solid, with jobless claims data trending sideways at a low level and the Conference Board's labour market differential at its most favourable level since January 2008.
"We estimate that the unemployment rate declined from 5.3% to 5.2% and is thereby approaching the Fed's NAIRU of 5%. We expect unemployment to undershoot the FOMC's projection for this year and next. This is a key reason we think the Fed will initiate its tightening cycle in December this year and proceed at a faster pace than the two hikes currently factored in by the market", says Dankske Bank.


South Korea Assures U.S. on Trade Deal Commitments Amid Tariff Concerns
Fed Governor Lisa Cook Warns Inflation Risks Remain as Rates Stay Steady
Oil Prices Slide on US-Iran Talks, Dollar Strength and Profit-Taking Pressure
Russian Stocks End Mixed as MOEX Index Closes Flat Amid Commodity Strength
Dow Hits 50,000 as U.S. Stocks Stage Strong Rebound Amid AI Volatility
Gold Prices Fall Amid Rate Jitters; Copper Steady as China Stimulus Eyed
RBI Holds Repo Rate at 5.25% as India’s Growth Outlook Strengthens After U.S. Trade Deal
Trump Endorses Japan’s Sanae Takaichi Ahead of Crucial Election Amid Market and China Tensions
Dollar Steadies Ahead of ECB and BoE Decisions as Markets Turn Risk-Off
Silver Prices Plunge in Asian Trade as Dollar Strength Triggers Fresh Precious Metals Sell-Off 



