Fed Rate hike decision: The latest commentary from Fed officials have suggested that a June interest rate hike is now unlikely but a move in September remains on the cards providing the data shows economic growth rebounding from its Q1 fall.
This week's economic data have so far mostly been consistent with a decent pickup and markets will be watching closely to see if that is also true of payrolls.
Unemployment reports: Today's payrolls report will be observed as probably the first indicator for June month. Indeed, the Fed's identification of further labour market improvement as one of the key preconditions for a hike in interest rates has, if anything increased its importance. The forecast of unemployment rate is stood unchanged from previous 5.4%.
Most alternative indicators suggest that the labour market has continued to tighten in May. In particular, initial jobless claims fell to a new recovery low.
We expect a 230k rise in employment, which would be the largest since February, while the unemployment rate is forecast to be stable at 5.4%, and earnings growth is expected to pick up modestly to 2.3%.
Trade bets:
Short ITM digital calls of USD/CAD at strike 1.2360 for net credit of .
The target is spot rate at 1.2482 levels. Extract only intraday leverage effects or square off position not to be rolled over.
Margins requied for shorting calls.


Strait of Hormuz Disruption Sparks Global Oil Supply Fears
Trump's Iran War Speech Sparks Market Anxiety Over Extended Conflict
Bank of America Identifies Top Asia-Pacific Semiconductor Stocks Poised for AI-Driven Growth
U.S. Strikes on Iran Draw War Crimes Warnings from International Law Scholars
Citigroup Delays Fed Rate Cut Forecast Amid Strong Jobs Data and Inflation Concerns
Goldman Sachs Cuts 2026 Copper Price Forecast Amid Global Growth Concerns 



