Janet Yellen is presenting the FED's biannual testimony before congress today. This is a two day event, though the first day is usually the major market movers.
Key points in the testimony -
- FED recognizes the current strength in the labor market through the rise in the NFP headline figure and fall in long term unemployed.
- Nevertheless it believes that further improvement is required in the wage growth and participation rate.
- FED recognizes the strength in GDP growth but expects such rate of growth (3.75% in second half of 2014) to be unsustainable at this stage but expect it to be strong enough.
- FED has shrugged off fear over falling inflation and falling inflation expectation. According to FED they remain subdued due to monetary policy easing abroad & lower oil price.
- FED will prefer conventional measures & tighten through interest rates not the balance sheet management.
- FED would change forward guidance before any rate hike & absence of the patience word would mean policy change at any meeting though not an assured condition.
Analogy & Reaction -
- Federal Reserve is going to hike rates and sounds like June this year.
- The pace of the rise will be gradual and will remain below the longer run average.
- Market remained unmoved after the comments. Euro is trading at 1.133, Yen at 119 & pound at 1.545.
- Stock market is also stable. S&P 500 is trading at 2114, up 0.23% for the day.


Gold Surges Past $4150 on Dovish Fed Signals and Weak Jobs Data; Bullish Outlook Prevails
Bernstein Names IAG, Ryanair as Top European Airline Stocks Ahead of Earnings
In a rebuke to Trump, the Supreme Court rules that birthright citizenship is the law of the land
Bank of America Upgrades T-Mobile to Buy, Says LEO Satellite Fears Are Overdone
State of emergency in Crimea as Ukraine focuses pressure on ‘jewel in Putin’s crown’
JPMorgan Cuts Gold Price Forecast, Sees Bullion Reaching $4,500 by End of 2026
Goldman Sachs Raises USD/JPY Forecast, Sees Yen Weakness Persist Through 2027
Vietnam’s population hit the 100 million milestone. Where’s it headed?
USA at 250: the Black American struggle for life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness
Alcohol is one of the most dangerous drugs, yet its presence is ubiquitous in social settings and celebrations 



