CFTC commitment of traders report was released on Tuesday (12th February) and cover positions up to Tuesday (15th January). COT report is not a complete presenter of entire market positions since the future market is relatively smaller compared to the spot FX market. Nevertheless, it presents a crucial picture of how key participants are looking at future moves. Data delayed sue to U.S. govt. shutdown.
Key highlights:
Market participants are net short in all currencies against the dollar except the Mexican peso and New Zealand dollar.
Short positions decreased:
- The short positions in the Swiss franc declined by 7,892 contracts to -15.3K contracts.
- The short positions in the euro declined by 7,872 contracts to -32.7K contracts.
- The short positions in the Japanese yen declined sharply by 14,893 contracts to -46.4K contracts.
- The short positions in the Canadian dollar declined by 6,478 contracts to -59.5K contracts
Short positions increased:
- The short positions in the Australian dollar rose for the 2nd time in 11 weeks and by 194 contracts that pushed the net position to -38K contracts.
- The short positions in the British pound sterling rose by 384 contracts to -60.5K contracts.
- The short positions in the New Zealand dollar rose by 1,402 contracts to -2.9K contracts.
Long position increased:
- The long positions in the Mexican Peso rose sharply by 26,283 contracts to +57.3K contracts.
Position shifted from long to short:
- The long positions in the New Zealand dollar declined by 3,500 contracts to -1.5K contracts.