India is due to release WPI inflation data for February on 16 March.
Standard Chartered notes the forecasts as follows:
- We expect the WPI to have contracted 0.6% y/y (previous: -0.38%). While petrol and diesel prices rose during the month, a sharp reduction in aviation turbine fuel (ATF) prices likely mitigated this effect.
- The slow pace of increase in prices of primary articles and manufactured products is likely to keep overall price pressures contained.
- Given that CPI inflation is the main anchor of monetary policy, the market reaction to the WPI release is likely to be muted.