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FxWirePro: USD/JPY reclaims 115 handle, finds strong support by 50-DMA at 113.59

Technical Studies:

  • USD/JPY has held above 50-DMA support at 113.59, we see further weakness only on break below.
  • The pair has at the time of writing reclaimed the 115 handle. Trend remain lower, some consolidation likely at current levels.
  • The has broken major trendline support at 115.45, upside remain capped by 5-DMA at 115.77.
  • Break below 50-DMA could see drag till 111 levels.
  • On the flipside, bearish invalidation only on close above 20-DMA at 116.70.


Fundamental Factors:

  • Fed focus is on low unemployment, while keeping inflation low and stable, Yellen said at a meeting overnight..
  • The Fed chair made no commenst regarding the economic or policy outlook in her speech at a 'town hall' meeting. 
  • Divergence between the BoJ and the Fed monetary policies to keep downside capped.


TIME  TREND INDEX  OB/OS INDEX    

1H    Bullish          Neutral    
4H    Bullish          Neutral        
1D    Bearish        Neutral        
1W    Neutral       Neutral  
   
Call Update: Our previous call (http://www.econotimes.com/FxWirePro-USD-JPY-trade-idea-short-rallies-for-114-485054) has achieved all targets.

Support levels - 114.25 (Jan 11 low), 114, 113.97 (23.6% Fib of 98.78 to 118.66 rally), 113.56 (50-DMA)

Resistance levels - 115, 115.37 (5-DMA), 116, 116.70 (20-DMA)

Recommendation: We prefer to wait for clear intarday signal.
 

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