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FxWirePro: U.S. Natural gas inventory preview

Natural gas is currently trading at $2.67 per MMBtu.

 

Key factors at play in the natural gas market –

  • Higher U.S. and global supplies keeping the natural gas price depressed, as winter is over across the globe.
  • Supply bottlenecks remain the main source of concern in the United States. This year due to excess natural gas supply while drilling for shale oil pushed the price to negative $3.4 per MMBtu at the Permian basin, which recently became the highest producing field of the world.
  • Lower global price acting as a key downside catalyst. Price in the UK declined to 36 pence per therm, down from record 84 pence.
  • As forecasted, the price indeed moving lower and could go significantly lower. The price is likely to move lower to test support around $2.42 area.

Now, for the inventory,

According to the latest numbers, working gas in the underground storage remains at 1.155 trillion cubic feet (Tcf). Stocks are 183 bcf less than last year, and 485 bcf below the five-year average. The chart from EIA shows the level of inventory. The second chart from investing.com shows weekly changes in inventory.

  • Last week, the inventory rose by 25 billion cubic feet against an expectation of 29 billion cubic feet build. Today 87 billion cubic feet build expected.

EIA will release the inventory report at 14:30 GMT.

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July 2 15:00 UTC Released

DKCurrency Reserves

Actual

449.6 Stale

Forecast

Previous

451.7 Stale

July 2 13:45 UTC Released

USISM NY Biz Conditions

Actual

50 %

Forecast

Previous

48.6 %

January 31 00:00 UTC 767602767602m

ARAnnual Primary Balance*

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Forecast

2016 bln ARS

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Bln AR bln ARS

January 31 00:00 UTC 767602767602m

ARAnnual Primary Balance*

Actual

Forecast

2016 bln ARS

Previous

Bln AR bln ARS

January 22 19:00 UTC 779422779422m

ARTrade Balance

Actual

Forecast

Previous

-1541 %

January 31 00:00 UTC 767602767602m

ARAnnual Primary Balance*

Actual

Forecast

2016 bln ARS

Previous

Bln AR bln ARS

January 22 19:00 UTC 779422779422m

ARTrade Balance

Actual

Forecast

Previous

-1541 %

January 31 00:00 UTC 767602767602m

ARAnnual Primary Balance*

Actual

Forecast

2016 bln ARS

Previous

Bln AR bln ARS

January 31 00:00 UTC 767602767602m

ARAnnual Primary Balance*

Actual

Forecast

2016 bln ARS

Previous

Bln AR bln ARS

January 31 00:00 UTC 767602767602m

ARAnnual Primary Balance*

Actual

Forecast

2016 bln ARS

Previous

Bln AR bln ARS

Close

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