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FxWirePro: U.S. Natural gas inventory preview

Natural gas is currently trading at $2.73 per MMBtu.

Key factors at play in the natural gas market –

  • Natural gas is looking to recover grounds, after finding support around $2.5 area once more.
  • NATO sanctions on Russia might disrupt its gas supplies to Europe.
  • With geopolitical tensions rising between Russia and the United Kingdom and other European nations, the U.S. looking to fill in the shoes of Russia in terms of gas supply to the region.
  • With natural gas turning into a buyers’ market big importers like Japan are renegotiating long-term contracts with a resale clause attached.
  • Russia and the United States are set to fight for market share in Asia and in Europe. US preparing to become major natural gas exporter to the EU and Asia.
  • Lithuania imported first-ever LNG cargo from the United States.
  • Australia looking to beat Qatar to become world’s largest Ngas supplier.
  • Large Natural gas producers in the United States continue to expand production per rig. US exports are increasing significantly.
  • Qatar announced that it plans to increase output by 30 percent, which could be trouble for the US as Qatar is a low-cost producer.
  • The United States remains the largest petroleum and natural gas producers in the world.

Now, for the inventory,

According to the latest numbers, working gas in the underground storage remains at 1.335 trillion cubic feet (Tcf). Stocks are 725 billion cubic feet (Bcf) lower than last year at this time and 375 Bcf below the five-year average. The chart from EIA shows the level of inventory. The second chart from investing.com shows weekly changes in inventory.

  • Last week, the inventory declined by 29 billion cubic feet against an expectation of 29 billion cubic feet drawdown. Today 11 billion cubic feet drawdown expected.
  • EIA will release the inventory report at 14:30 GMT.

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