Oil Prices Dip Slightly Amid Focus on Russian Sanctions and U.S. Inflation Data 
Urban studies: Doing research when every city is different 
RBC Capital: European Medtech Firms Show Minimal Middle East and Energy Risk Exposure 
China's Refining Industry Faces Major Shakeup Amid Challenges 
Moldova Criticizes Russia Amid Transdniestria Energy Crisis 
Makemation: a Nollywood movie that shows AI in action in Africa 
U.S. Banks Report Strong Q4 Profits Amid Investment Banking Surge 
Private Credit Under Pressure: Is a Slow-Motion Crisis Unfolding? 
Is dark chocolate healthier than milk chocolate? 2 dietitians explain 
Citigroup Delays Fed Rate Cut Forecast Amid Strong Jobs Data and Inflation Concerns 
Strait of Hormuz Disruption Sparks Global Oil Supply Fears 
Gold Prices Fall Amid Rate Jitters; Copper Steady as China Stimulus Eyed 
Mexico's Undervalued Equity Market Offers Long-Term Investment Potential 
US Futures Rise as Investors Eye Earnings, Inflation Data, and Wildfire Impacts 
In this edition, we emphasize the potential trading opportunities in a few EMFX baskets related to anomalies or dislocations. These include:
1) TWD too strong versus rate differentials, it is highly expensive versus rate differentials (6% overvalued using data since 2013); fair value around 33.30. Also, geopolitical risks are underpriced in our opinion.
2) CNH 1y implied vol rich compared to realized vols.
3) CNH trading at the premium to CNY, Zero cost/negligible premium options structure for trading and seagull for hedging as CNH IVs still appear exorbitant.
4) MXN and MYR cheap versus oil but RUB and BRL near fair value.
5) KRW and MXN risk reversals cheap versus implieds.
6) The positive carry from buying USDHKD forwards below the convertibility range, buying USD-HKD forward outright below the bottom of the convertibility range (7.75-7.85) is appealing if the position is held to maturity (basis risk could cause significant interim mark-to-market gains/losses).
7) There could be a potential breakdown in correlation between KRW and KOSPI due to growth in global equity basket but on the hedging grounds stay long in USDKRW via NDFs. We remain biased toward buying USDKRW but an upward move in global equities that pushes KOSPI higher is a serious risk to our thesis.
