What is clear today though, is that the short-term pre-FOMC risk is of a break higher in EUR/USD for no obvious reasons than positions reduction, upon resultant forces Euro's gains against dollar to reach at 1.11 areas. Buying one touch binary calls would determine huge yields for sure.
On the contrary, with spot FX flashes of EURUSD at 1.1025 we see delta risk reversal for 1 week contracts have shown slight recovery signals but long term (1M-1Y) put contracts are on higher demand.
EURUSD has been in the list of top 3 pairs to perceive highest implied volatility of 1W at the money contracts among G20 currency space, almost close to 13%.
More importantly, the contracts of this pair for 3m-1y expiries show gradual increase in negative sentiments. So, from this computation what we could read is that EUR may gain until tomorrow's Fed's rate decision and thereafter eyeing on Yellen's statements we could foresee dollar's appreciation as quite certain event.
As a reminder, this higher IV represents how much movement today's FX market expects from EURUSD during US sessions and the life span of the option. In that respect, an option buyer is partially buying the market's expectations for this pair.
We would like to buy long term put back spreads contemplating the 25 delta risk reversals as the EURUSD's broader perspectives are weaker in long run.
If more price actions occur at the fat tails, the option trader will mark volatility higher for out-of-money (OTM) and in-the-money (ITM) options then at-the-money (ATM) options and so does happen with EURUSD pair currently.


CADJPY Outlook: Loonie Limps as Dismal Jobs Data Fuels BoC Rate Cut Bets
FxWirePro: GBP/AUD dips ,remains on back foot
FxWirePro: GBP/NZD downtrend loses steam, remains on bearish path
NZDJPY Technical Outlook: Selling the Rallies as Bearish Momentum Consolidates
FxWirePro: EUR/AUD drifts lower ,could be on verge of bigger drop
FxWirePro- Woodies pivot (Major)
FxWirePro= Major European Indices
FxWirePro: USD/CNY hits fresh three-year low, scope for further downside
FxWirePro: GBP/USD rises as UK political uncertainty fails to dent pound strength
AUDJPY Relief Rally: A Golden Opportunity for the Bears?
Ethereum Technical Outlook: ETH Braces for Support as Bulls Eye the USD 2,200 Buy Zone
FxWirePro- Major Pair levels and bias summary
FxWirePro: GBP/AUD edged higher, set to stay on back foot
Aussie Strength Prevails: AUD/JPY Targets Multi-Year Highs as Bullish Momentum Builds
Bitcoin Targets USD 90,000: Bullish Sentiment Solidifies as Realized Profits Surge
FxWirePro- Major Crypto levels and bias summary
FxWirePro: GBP/USD gaining momentum for a move towards 1.3700 level




