It's a big day for INR today, after consistent loses against dollar, Monday morning has nothing positive to offer given the subdued global sentiment. Yes, all eyes will be on the Union Budget which Finance Minister Arun Jaitley would present around 11 am.
The key focus would be on Corporate tax reduction, increasing service tax rate, some steps towards GST implementation, capital support for PSU banks and divestment of government stakes in PSUs along with some reforms are among the broad expectations.
As a result, we've already seen FIIs sell in equities to the tune of Rs. 695 crores. While in Index Futures, they bought of worth Rs. 734 crores with marginal change in open interest, indicating blend to both long formation and short covering in last trading session.
Technically, although USDINR showing some upside potential, it has been losing upswings momentum from last couple of trading days as the rejection of resistance at 68.7539 levels.
Even though the bears began pushing downwards we saw sharp bounces every now and then, thereby we could see bull candles with big real body quite often.
Leading oscillators are also moving in linear direction to signify indecision but slightly narrowed curve indicates reduced momentum in previous intraday selling pressures and so is the MACD.
On a significant economic event today, we now keep an eye on potential breach above mentioned resistance at 68.7539 levels and INR gains on the contrary, options straddle is the best suitable in such range bounded circumstances in put with 50% delta. Long options straddle that fetched unlimited returns during higher implied volatility scenarios short term.
So, go simultaneously long in at the money call and, and limited risk to the extent of initial premiums paid options.
Well, this option trading strategy that are usually used during significant economic news, in this case when the options trader ponders that the USDINR will experience significant volatility ahead budget event, in the near term it would be highly volatile pair to trade with but expects the swings in either ways.


AUDJPY Eyes New Highs: Bulls Hold 102 Support, Target 104
FxWirePro- Major US Indices
FxWirePro- Major European Indices
FxWirePro: USD/CAD downside pressure builds, key support level in focus
FxWirePro: EUR/AUD poised for further downside after key fibo break
FxWirePro: GBP/NZD edges higher but bearish outlook persists
GBPJPY Bulls on Guard: Buy the Dip at 206 as Support Holds Firm – Target 208 in Sight
FxWirePro: GBP/AUD positions for another drop, eyes 2.0100 level
FxWirePro: EUR/NZD neutral in the near-term, scope for downward resumption
AUDJPY Rangebound: Bulls Hold 102, Watch for Breakout Above 102.85
FxWirePro- Woodies Pivot(Major)
NZDJPY Eyes Higher Ground: Buy the Dips as Bulls Defend 88.70 Support
FxWirePro: AUD/USD firms as Australian household spending records sharp jump
FxWirePro: GBP/AUD gains some upside momentum, but bearish outlook remains
FxWirePro: USD/JPY neutral in the near-term, scope for downward resumption
GBPJPY Eyes 208: Pound Pulls Back, Bulls Guard 206




