Before we begin with hedging frameworks, refer below web-link for our technicals trend analysis:
We kept uttering for bearish trend of this pair, although it took a rally in mid of this month when it reached 86.379 bears have been active again. No question of speculating this bearish pressure, instead foreign traders are advised to stay hedged their FX exposure in this pair.
As shown in the diagram, the ATM IVs of AUDJPY of 1W expiry is at around 18.55%.
While, 1W ATM puts are priced 10.66% more than Net Present Value.
Sensitivity tool signals more positive change in premiums in OTM strikes scenarios.
Thereby, one can initiate trading or hedging strategy using OTM puts which would be even more cheaper.
Well, on hedging grounds, Put ratio Back Spreads are advocated.
Because, the trend signalling bearish risks after breaking 84.001 levels with favourable bearish signals by technical indicators as explained in technical write up, and secondly, the traders tend to view the put ratio back spread as a bear strategy, because it employs puts. However, it is actually a volatility strategy.
Options with a higher IV cost more. This is intuitive due to the higher likelihood of the market 'swinging' in your favour. If IV increases and you are holding an option, this is good. You should also note short-dated options are less sensitive to IV, while long-dated are more sensitive.
As we expect the underlying currency exchange rate of AUDJPY to make a larger move on the downside. As shown in the figure purchase 1M 1 lot of at the money -0.49 delta put, 1 lot of 2M (1%) out of the money -0.37 delta put and sell 1W one lot of (0.5%) In-The-Money put option.


EURJPY Carves Triple Bottom at 180.20 – Bulls Ready to Storm 182-183 as Breakout Momentum Builds
FxWirePro- Major European Indices
FxWirePro: USD/JPY dips below lower range, bearish bias increases
FxWirePro- Major Crypto levels and bias summary
FxWirePro: NZD/USD sustains gains as uptrend remains strong
FxWirePro- Major US Indices
GBPJPY Eyes 208: Pound Pulls Back, Bulls Guard 206
Ethereum Holds Firm Above $3,100 Despite Dip – Fresh Breakout to $3,600+ Looming as Bulls Defend Key Support
GBPJPY Bulls on Guard: Buy the Dip at 206 as Support Holds Firm – Target 208 in Sight
FxWirePro: Daily Commodity Tracker - 21st March, 2022
FxWirePro: AUD/USD consolidates gains ,remains on positive footing
FxWirePro: USD/CAD downside pressure builds, key support level in focus
EURGBP Buckles Under Sterling Surge – Bears Eye 0.8600 as 0.8800 Ceiling Holds Firm




