FxWirePro: NZD/USD fades RBNZ-led gains, slumps over 0.50% amid souring risk appetite

NZD/USD chart - Trading View 

Spot Analysis:

NZD/USD was trading 0.48% lower on the day at 0.6922 at around 04:40 GMT

Previous Week's High/ Low: 0.7033/ 0.6859

Previous Session's High/ Low: 0.6976/ 0.6927

Fundamental Overview:

New Zealand's central bank hiked interest rates at its policy meeting early on Wednesday for the first time in seven years and signalled further tightening to come. 

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) increased the cash rate to 0.50% as had been forecasted by economists.

The 25 basis point rate hike marks the start of a tightening cycle as the central bank looks to get on top of inflationary pressures and cool a red-hot housing market.

Future moves depending on the medium-term outlook for inflation and employment. The central bank expects headline CPI inflation to increase above 4% in the near-term but return towards its 2% midpoint over the medium term.

Economists expect the benchmark rate to reach 1.50% by the end of next year and 1.75% by the end of 2023.

Technical Analysis:

- NZD/USD resumes downside in sloping channel pattern

- Recovery attempts were rejected at daily cloud

- Momentum is bearish, RSI is well below the 50 mark

- GMMA indicator shows major and minor trend are bearish on the daily charts

Major Support and Resistance Levels:

Support - 0.6870 (trendline), Resistance - 0.6985 (21-EMA)

Summary: NZD/USD failure at 21-EMA reinforces downside in the pair. Test of 0.6870 likely ahead of 0.6805 (2021 low till date).