FxWirePro: NZD/USD breaks above 200-DMA, focus on U.S. CPI data for further impetus

NZD/USD chart on Trading View used for analysis

• NZD/USD has shown a break above 200-DMA, further upside likely on bullish momentum.
   
• Momentum studies are bullish. Stochs and RSI are biased higher. RSI shows strength above 50 levels with scope to rise further.
   
• MACD is showing a bullish crossover on signal line which adds to the bullish bias.
   
• Break above 200-DMA raises scope for test of 50% Fib at 0.6930 ahead of 0.6969 (Dec 4th high).
   
• On the flipside, retrace below 200-DMA will see dip till 5-DMA at 0.6773. Further weakness on break below.
   
• Focus on US inflation data due later today for further impetus. Analysts expect headline and core CPI to be unchanged. 
   
• Stable inflation is likely to support new Fed rate caution, lowering the odds for a first half  rate hike, weighing on the dollar and adding upside support to the major.

Support levels - 0.68 (200-DMA), 0.6773 (5-DMA), 0.6763 (21-EMA), 0.6663 (23.6% Fib)

Resistance levels - 0.6858 (Upper BB), 0.69, 0.6930 (50% Fib) 

Recommendation: Stay long on close above 200-DMA, SL: 0.6770, TP: 0.6860/ 0.69/ 0.6930

For details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex.