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FxWirePro- Gold Daily Outlook

Ichimoku Analysis (4-Hour chart)

 

Tenken-Sen- $1955.03

 

Kijun-Sen- $1960.85

 

Gold prices lost their shine and lost more than $30 from a minor top of $1970.25. The unexpected 25 bpbs rate hike by the Bank of Canada pushed US treasury yields prices higher. It hits a low of $1939.94 yesterday and is currently trading around $1946.67.

 

 US dollar index- Bullish. Minor support around 102.30/101.50. The near-term resistance is 104.40/105.

 

 According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a 25 bpbs rate hike in June increased to  33.3% from 21.8% a day ago.

 

 The US 10-year yield surged more than 4% on rate hike hopes. The US 10 and 2-year spread narrowed to -82.9% from -76.90%.

 

 Factors to watch for gold price action-

 

   Global stock market- bullish (negative for gold)

 

  US dollar index - Bullish  (negative for gold)

 

  US10-year bond yield- Bullish (Bearish for gold)

 

Technical:

 

The near–term support is around $1935, a break below targets of $1920/$1900.The yellow metal faces minor resistance around $1965, and a breach above will take it to the next level of $1980/$2000/$2020/$2040/$2070/$2100/$2150.

 

 It is good to sell on rallies around $1970 with SL around $1980 for TP of $1920/$1900.

 

 

 

 

 

 

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