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FxWirePro: GBP/CHF rangebound below 5-DMA, good to stay short below 1.2985

  • GBP/CHF is trading in a narrow range. Price action seems capped below 5-DMA.
     
  • Minor recovery attempts from new 4-month lows at 1.2987 hit last week do little to change the bearish trend.
     
  • Series of poor data continue to dent prospects for the UK, casting doubt on future rate hikes to come.
     
  • The pair finds strong trendline support at 1.2985. Break below will see further weakness.
     
  • Price has dipped below 50% Fib and breach at 1.2985 targets 61.8% Fib at 1.2845.
     
  • On the flipside, 5-DMA is immediate resistance at 1.3044. Break above could see minor upside.

Support levels - 1.2985 (trendline), 1.29, 1.2845 (61.8% Fib)

Resistance levels - 1.3044 (5-DMA), 1.3115 (21-EMA), 1.3196 (55-EMA)

Recommendation: Stay short on break below 1.2985, target 1.2920/ 1.29/ 1.2865

FxWirePro Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's Hourly GBP Spot Index was at -2.24082 (Neutral), while Hourly CHF Spot Index was at 112.003 (Bullish) at 1200 GMT. For more details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex
 

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