The implied volatilities of ATM contracts are just shy above 7% for next 3 months tenors, whereas risk reversals have been bearish neutral.
So if anyone believes it can still be possible to pull out returns from this dubious scene from this pair, even though exhausted bulls who think long lasting non-stop streak of bull run to take halt at this point. Yes, that's quite achievable from iron butterfly strategy.
At Spot ref: 1.0899, diagonal iron butterfly strategy (EUR/CHF) can be executed as shown below,
Long 2M (1%) OTM -0.27 delta put & 2W Short ATM put with positive theta or closer zero + 2W Short ATM Call with positive theta or at zero& Long 2M (1%) OTM 0.27 delta call.
A delta neutral trading strategy in this case involves the buying of a theoretically underpriced option while taking an opposite position in EURCHF options.
Well, thereby, a common question pops up after this explanation, "How do I know if an option is theoretically underpriced?" I prefer to use Option Greeks platform that provides this information.
Comparing reasonable delta contents, ATM IVs and option premiums with net present values of such premiums, will give you the theoretical price of an option.
In iron butterfly, there is high probability of deriving certain yields as it contains both bull call and bear put spreads, hence it would likely yield variant payoffs from classic butterfly spreads.
Alternatively, those who are aggressively dubious on bearish swings, debit put spread shall be used over Protective Put as the premiums on naked puts prove too costlier.
Bear Put Spread = Long 1M ATM -0.49 delta Put + Short 1W (1%) OTM Put with lower Strike Price with net delta should be at -0.40.
For a net debit bear put spread reduces the cost of hedge by the premium collected (on the shorts of OTM put) and keeps hedger to participate on upward moves but it comes at the expense of Partial hedge rather than a complete hedge.


FxWirePro: GBP/NZD bulls struggles as upside momentum fades
Bitcoin Retreats Toward Critical Support as Geopolitical Winds Shift
FxWirePro: USD/JPY edges higher but bulls lack punch
Ethereum Retreats in Bitcoin’s Shadow: ETH/USD Tests Critical Support at USD 2,075
FxWirePro: EUR/AUD steadies around 1.6750, retains bid tone
Bitcoin Retreats as Geopolitical Tensions Flare: BTC/USD Dips Following Iran’s Rejection of Ceasefire
AUDJPY Under Pressure: Bearish Technicals Signal Further Downside for the Aussie
FxWirePro: EUR/NZD positions for another climb, eyes 2.0100 level
FxWirePro: USD/CAD sustains gains as uptrend remains strong
FxWirePro- Major European Indices
FxWirePro: AUD/USD hovers near two-month low, outlook bearish
Ethereum Trails Bitcoin’s Retreat: Key Support Levels in Focus
FxWirePro- Major European Indices
FxWirePro- Major Pair levels and bias summary
NZD/JPY Technical Outlook: Bearish Momentum Gains as Resistance Holds
FxWirePro: USD/ZAR uptrend loses steam, remains on bullish path




