Menu

Search

  |   Technicals

Menu

  |   Technicals

Search

FxWirePro: Deploy EUR/CHF synthetic put for hedging as naked puts seem overpriced

As you can observe the ATM premiums are trading 38% more than NPV, so hedging with these overpriced at the money instruments would not be cost effective as its delta amounting close to 50% would collapse as the time decay implies drastically as the IV is expected to reduce further.

For instance, suppose we've constructed an at the money put option of EURCHF with 1W expiry and with this given maturity has reduced its implied volatility from 6.4% to 5.3% and it is likely to remain in this lackluster zone (historically these vols have never disappointed).

In a true smile, options with an at-the-money strike are priced with a lower volatility than out-of-the-money and in-the-money volatility strikes. Such market occurrences are observable in the EURCHF FX OTC market.  

From the nutshell evidencing risk reversals, 25-delta risk of reversals of EUR/CHF the most expensive pair to be hedged for downside risks after AUDUSD as it indicates puts have been overpriced.

As it showed the highest tendency towards downside hedging activity, alternatively synthetic positions would come into arrest these downside risks.

This expensive options situation could be dealt by shorting spot FX and simultaneously by going long in an at the money call.

The payoff function (Profit/Loss) from this strategy replicate exactly as those from the long put positions.

The two combination create a synthetic long ATM put position with the same risk/reward profile of the overpriced ATM put.

  • Market Data
Close

Welcome to EconoTimes

Sign up for daily updates for the most important
stories unfolding in the global economy.