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FxWirePro: AUD/USD rally may be stalling, good to go short on upticks

The Antipodeans came off multi-week peaks on Thursday after hawkish Yellen comments underlined the case for an interest rate hike this month and dented appetite for risk assets.

  • Also undermining the Aussie was data showing Australia's trade deficit widened to A$3.3 billion, compared to forecasts of A$2.6 billion, due in part to weaker commodity prices
     
  • AUD/USD slipped around 0.3 percent to  hit session lows at 0.7284 but the pair crawled back above 0.7300 as early selling pressure dissipates 
     
  • Aussie resilience was seen as it remained little changed on China Caixin services PMI data which dropped to 51.2 in Nov from 52 month prior
     
  • Daily RSI diverges to suggest the rally may be stalling, long upper wick formed on yesterday's candle shows selling pressure at highs, Stochs also show a bearish crossover at overbought levels
     
  • Market of course mostly sidelined now as we wait on ECB decision, AUD may be buffeted via cross activity; EUR/AUD down 10.7% since Sept 29
     
  • Support was found at 0.7250 10-DMA, break below opens to 0.7222 Dec 1st base, while resistance on the upside is seen at 0.7316 Oct 14 highs
  • Market Data
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