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FxWirePro: AUD/USD holds channel base support, weakness only on break below

  • AUD/USD is trading a narrow range in the Asian session, Doji formation seen on daily charts.
     
  • The pair is trading a rising channel and price action has bounced of channel base support at 0.7575.
     
  • Momentum studies are bullish, RSI strength seen at 57, and MACD is well above zero mark.
     
  • Upside finds immediate resistance at 0.7605 (5-DMA), break above could see further upside.
     
  • Resistnace above 0.7605 are located at 0.7638 (Jul 13 high) 0.7655 (trendline), 0.7676 (July 15 high).
     
  • We see weakness only on break below channel base at 0.7575, test of 0.7513 (20-DMA) then likely.
     
  • Q2 CPI data (due Wed 27 July) are keenly awaited after the extremely weak Q1 data and consequent downgrade to the RBA’s inflation profile.

Recommendation: Go long break above 0.7605, SL: 0.7575, TP: 0.7650/ 0.7675
 

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