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FxWirePro: AUD/USD capped below 20-DMA at 0.7634, good to go long on break above

  • AUD/USD upside rejected shy of 20-DMA at 0.7634, break above required for further gains.
     
  • The pair is consolidating dovish FOMC minutes led spike, breakout at 20-DMA could see test of 0.7758 (38.2% Fib).
     
  • Technical studies are turning slightly bullish, RSI has turned north from near oversold levels.
     
  • Stochs are showing rollover from oversold levels and MACD is showing a bullish crossover on signal line.
     
  • On the flipside, 5-DMA at 0.7596 is immediate support, break below to see weakness upto 0.7535 levels. Violation there could accentuate weakness.

Support levels - 0.76, 0.7596 (5-DMA), 0.7535 (double bottom June 22 and Nov 17), 0.7528 (61.8% Fib retrace of 0.7160 to 0.81250 rally)

Resistance levels - 0.7634 (20-DMA), 0.7694 (200-DMA), 0.7758 (38.2% Fib retrace of 0.81250 to 0.75320 fall)

Recommendation: Watch out for break above 0.7640 to go long, SL: 0.7585, TP: 0.7695/ 0.7750

FxWirePro Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's Hourly AUD Spot Index was at 12.8471 (Neutral), while Hourly USD Spot Index was at -121.922 (Bearish) at 0830 GMT. For more details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex.

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