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FxWirePro: AUD/USD breaks channel base support at 0.7572, hits 4-month lows at 0.7538, bias lower

  • AUD/USD extends weakness, breaks strong support at channel base at 0.7572.
     
  • The pair hit new 4-month lows of 0.7538 before paring some losses to currently trade at 0.7552.
     
  • Aussie has largely ignored upbeat producer price inflation data and remains depressed on weak China Industrial Profits data.
     
  • The spot may extend losses if the US GDP (due later today) prints above the estimate of 2 percent.
     
  • Technical indicators are bearish. On the weekly charts we see -ve DMI crossover on +ve DMI and price has slipped below weekly cloud.
     
  • Momentum with the bears, breach at channel base has raised scope for drag till 0.7501 (Dec 8 low).
     
  • Failure to hold break below channel base and retrace above 5-DMA could see test of 21-EMA.

Support levels - 0.7532 (Nov 21 low), 0.75, 0.7440 (April 27 low

Resistance levels - 0.7572 (channel base), 0.7676 (5-DMA), 0.7637 (78.6% Fib), 0.77

Recommendation: Good to go short on rallies around 0.7555/65, SL: 0.76, TP: 0.75/ 0.7450.

FxWirePro Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's Hourly AUD Spot Index was at -103.397 (Bearish), while Hourly USD Spot Index was at 81.603 (Bullish) at 0430 GMT. For more details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex.

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