The US economy started surprising in terms of economic activity since last August; hence you can see in this fantastic chart, shared by Aurelija Augulyte. However, that started waning since late December and only recently started its upward trajectory once more.

More surprisingly as you can see in plain eyes that the dollar index has been following the surprise index pretty well. The election of Donald Trump has boosted both consumer and business confidence but only time will tell whether it translates into hard data and keep us surprising or not.