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Australia’s Q2 GDP Beats Forecasts: Fastest Growth in Two Years Drives AUD Higher

In Q2 2025, Australia's economy grew by 0.6% quarter on year, above the 0.5% predicted, while annual GDP expansion went to 1.8%, up from 1.4% in Q1. With almost two years under its belt, this represents the quickest yearly growth rate. But growth for the 2024–25 financial year was just 1.3%, the lowest since the early 1990s except for the COVID-19 era. The stronger-than-expected numbers lifted the Australian Dollar (up 0.1% to $0.6525) but weighed on three-year government bond futures, which fell 5 ticks to 96.

Gains in household consumption, government sector spending, and net trade aided by mining exports—though public investment was a significant drag—drove the quarterly growth. Following a fall in Q1, GDP per capita climbed by 0.2%; meanwhile, the household savings-to-income ratio decreased from 5.2% to 4.2%. Weakening terms of trade, down 1.1%, somewhat blunted the general picture despite these advancements.

Reflecting rebound following earlier restriction in spending, Australia's economy displayed resilience in Q2 2025 as domestic demand recovered momentum. Though difficulties such as dropping public expenditure and decreased savings provided headwinds, a concentration on household consumption and governmental help fueled the expansion. This combination of good momentum and persistent pressures helps to explain the complex path of Australia's economy.

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