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Arthur Hayes Predicts Major Bullish Crypto Market Recovery Signal From US Treasury Department

Arthur Hayes forecasts a bullish market response to potential U.S. Treasury financial maneuvers.

Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, has identified a potential boost for the cryptocurrency and stock markets based on recent U.S. Treasury actions. These actions could inject substantial liquidity, fueling a bullish trend.

Arthur Hayes Signals Treasury's Next Moves Could Catalyze Major Market Rally

In a recent report by CoinGape, as macro issues were the key reasons for a recent decline in sentiment in the cryptocurrency market, Hayes disclosed that tax receipts from US individuals brought $200 billion to the Treasury General Account (TGA) of the United States. The Treasury Department's next moves have the potential to spark a market resurgence.

BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes provided three possible ideas for Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen to consider as the Q2 2024 refunding announcement arrives next week. The Treasury General Account (TGA) has been refilled at $941 billion, with US tax contributions adding $200 billion.

Janet Yellen will cause a boom in stocks and cryptocurrency markets if any of the three scenarios listed below are considered:

  1. Stop issuing treasuries by reducing the TGA to zero, which will be a $1 trillion liquidity injection.

  2. Shifts more borrowing to Treasury bills to remove money from RRP, a $400bn liquidity injection.

  3. A combination of 1 and 2 will be a $1.4 trillion liquidity injection. Treasury could stop issuing long-term bonds and bills while running down TGA and RRP.

“If any of these three options happen, expect a rally in stocks and most importantly a re-acceleration of the crypto bull market,” said Arthur Hayes.

People's liquidity to the government is a net negative for risk assets. Furthermore, the anticipated liquidity "boost" will be net good for risk assets in the coming weeks. The stock and cryptocurrency markets are expected to experience a big rally, particularly as a post-halving rise is initiated.

Bitcoin Faces Price Stability Amid Market Expiry and Inflation Report Uncertainties

The current major barriers to the bitcoin price surge are crypto market expiry and today's PCE inflation report. As traders prepare for these events, the cryptocurrency market is expected to experience muted price activity.

The Bitcoin price has risen by 1% in the last 24 hours and is presently trading at $64,302. The current 24-hour low and high are $62,783 and $65,275, respectively. Furthermore, trading volume has climbed marginally during the last 24 hours.

Coinglass data reveals quiet derivatives trading ahead of the expiry of the $9.4 billion Bitcoin and Ethereum options on Deribit.

Photo: Microsoft Bing

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