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Stronger USD puts depreciation pressure on CNY

Spread betwen CNH and CNY (Bloomberg, Danske Bank)

Depreciation pressure on the CNY has resumed as the USD strengthened. China will manage the CNY with a closer eye on trade weighted currency. Hence USD strength will generally lead to a weaker CNY versus USD. 

The CNH-CNY spread has pushed higher lately. This is normal when USD/CNY increases. However, we are close to levels where the PBoC has intervened to reduce the CNH-CNY spread. It is a requirement of the IMF with regard to SDR inclusion that CNH and CNY are close to the same level.

 

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