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Mexican inflation deceleration likely over, but core inflation to stay below target

Headline inflation fell marginally to 2.97% yoy during the second half of February, while core inflation remained unchanged.
 
Societe Generale notes on Tuesday as follows:

  • We expect Mexican headline inflation to have moved up to 3.00% yoy (+0.21% mom) through mid-March, while core inflation likely rose by 0.2% mom. 

  • Post the sharp decline in inflation in January and thanks to the end of long-distance  telephone 

  • charges and price falls in several services categories (although some of this  can be attributed to the base effect), inflation seems to have stabilised at around 3%, which is Banxico's target.

  • However, core inflation will likely remain below 3% this year, primarily due to low inflation in the housing and health and personal care categories.

  • Market Data
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