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FxWirePro: 'Bearish Butterfly Pattern' on AUD/JPY, good to go short on break below 87.82

  • AUD/JPY recovery fails to hold gains above 5-DMA, extends downside for 4th successive session.
     
  • Technical studies are turning bearish. RSI and stochs are biased lower. MACD is showing a bearish crossover on signal line.
     
  • We see a 'Bearish Butterfly' formation on daily charts which raises scope for downside.
     
  • The pair has been struggling to extend gains above weekly 200-SMA at 88.64.
     
  • 20-DMA is strong support at 87.82, break below could see extension of downside.

Support levels - 87.82 (converged 20-DMA & weekly 5-SMA), 87.55 (23.6% Fib retrace of 81.486 to 89.425 rally), 87

Resistance levels - 88.49 (5-DMA), 88.64 (weekly 200-SMA), 89, 89.42 (July 27 high)

Recommendation: Good to go short on decisive break below 20-DMA at 87.82, SL: 88.50, TP: 87.55/ 87/ 86.40

FxWirePro Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's Hourly AUD Spot Index was at -121.996 (Highly Bearish), while Hourly JPY Spot Index was at -5.62818 (Neutral) at 1140 GMT. For more details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex.

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