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FxWirePro: AUD/CAD rejected at highs, cloud weighs on upside, good to short rallies

AUD/CAD rejected at session highs at 0.9926, slips lower to currently trade at 0.9894. Aussie dented after markets were disappointed as Q2 GDP was in line with forecasts. Expectations of an upbeat print were built-in fol…

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FxWirePro: AUD/CAD rejected at highs, cloud weighs on upside, good to short rallies
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  • AUD/CAD rejected at session highs at 0.9926, slips lower to currently trade at 0.9894.
     
  • Aussie dented after markets were disappointed as Q2 GDP was in line with forecasts.
     
  • Expectations of an upbeat print were built-in following strong current account data released yesterday.
     
  • The pair is trading a 'Symmetric Triangle' pattern and is extending decline after rejection at triangle top.
     
  • 200-DMA at 1.0005 also caps upside, only decisive break above could see bearish invalidation.
     
  • 5 and 20 day MA are sharply biased lower, price action is below daily cloud and major moving averages.
     
  • We see scope for test of 78.6% Fib at 0.9794. Violation there could see test of wedge base at 0.9765.

Support levels - 0.9850 (Sept 4 low), 0.9794 (78.6% Fib of 0.9643 to 1.0345 rally), 0.9765 (wedge base)

Resistance levels - 0.9912 (61.8% Fib), 0.9944 (20-DMA), 0.9990 (wedge top)

Recommendation: Stay short below 5-DMA at 0.9888, SL: 0.9944, TP: 0.9850/ 0.98/ 0.9765.

FxWirePro Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's Hourly AUD Spot Index was at 35.7607 (Neutral), while Hourly CAD Spot Index was at -46.8293 (Neutral) at 0820 GMT. For more details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex.

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