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Europe Roundup: Euro rises on upbeat PMI data ,European shares rise, Gold holds near 1-month peak, Oil rises after Trump assurance on China trade deal-June 23rd 2020

Market Roundup

• German, French PMIs suggest recovering business

• French June Manufacturing PMI  52.1, 46.0 forecast, 40.6 previous

• French June Services PMI  50.3, 44.2 forecast, 31.1 previous

•French June Markit Composite PMI  51.3, 46.3 forecast, 32.1 previous

• German June Manufacturing PMI  44.6, 41.5 forecast, 36.6 previous

• German June Composite PMI  45.8, 44.2 forecast, 32.3 previous

•German June Services PMI  45.8, 42.0 forecast, 32.6 previous

•EU June Manufacturing PMI  46.9, 44.5 forecast, 39.4 previous

• EU Services PMI  47.3, 41.0 forecast, 30.5 previous

• UK Composite PMI 47.6, 41.0  forecast, 30.0 previous

• UK Services PMI 47.0, 40.0 forecast, 29.0 previous

• UK Manufacturing PMI 50.1,45.0 forecast, 40.7 previous

Looking Ahead Economic Data (GMT)

• US Redbook (MoM) -2.4% previous

• US Redbook (YoY) -8.3% previous

• 13:45 US June Manufacturing PMI  48.0 forecast, 39.8 previous

• 13:45 US June Markit Composite PMI  37.0 previous

• 13:45 US June Services PMI  46.5 forecast, 37.5 previous

• 14:00 US June Richmond Services Index  -48 previous

• 14:00 US May New Home Sales (MoM)  2.9% forecast, 0.6% previous 

• 14:00 US May New Home Sales  640K forecast, 623K previous

• 14:00 US June Richmond Manufacturing Shipments  -26 previous         

• 14:00 US June Richmond Manufacturing Index  -27 previous

Looking Ahead - Events, Other Releases (GMT)

• No significant events

Fxbeat

EUR/USD: The euro rose against dollar on Tuesday after Purchasing Managers’ Indexes (PMIs), seen as a good gauge of economic health, thumped expectations to bolster V-shaped recovery hopes. Euro zone PMIs recovered to 47.5 from May’s 31.9 and April’s record low of 13.6. The future output index, which had been below the 50 mark that separates growth from contraction for three months, recovered to 55.7 from 46.8 too. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.1358 (June 16th), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.1424 (Higher BB).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.1292 (23.6% fib), a break below could take the pair towards 1.1216 (21 DMA).

GBP/USD: Sterling strengthened against dollar on Tuesday after data showed as better-than-expected PMI data   supported the British currency. The IHS Markit/CIPS flash composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), which measures activity in the services sector and manufacturing, jumped to 47.6 in June from 30.0 in May. This was a record rise that easily exceeded expectations in a  poll for an increase to 41, though its sub-50 level still represents a modest fall in output. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.2681 (200 DMA),an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.2775(23.6% fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.2418 (50DMA), a break below could take the pair towards 1.2311 (61.8% fib).

USD/CHF: The dollar declined against the Swiss franc on Tuesday as U.S. dollar was on the backfoot as markets clung on to hopes of an economic recovery from the pandemic despite rising infections in some parts of the world. The World Health Organization (WHO) reported a record increase in global novel coronavirus cases on Sunday, with spikes in infections in southern and western U.S. states as well as Brazil. Immediate resistance can be seen at 0.9486 (11 DMA), an upside break can trigger rise towards 0.9533 (50% fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 0.9397 (Lower BB), a break below could take the pair towards 0.9346 (23.6%fib).

USD/JPY: The dollar edged higher against the Japanese yen Tuesday after U.S. President Donald Trump provided assurance that the U.S.-China trade pact was fully intact , following confusing statements from the White House earlier over the fate of the deal. Japanese yen had strengthened  early in the Asian day after White House trade adviser Peter Navarro said the trade deal with China was “over”, linking the breakdown in part to Washington’s anger over Beijing not sounding the alarm earlier about the coronavirus outbreak. The comment caused a kneejerk reaction in the markets, although sentiment turned around quickly after a statement from Navarro that his comment had been taken out of context. Strong resistance can be seen at 107.87 (38.2% fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 108.02 (38.2% fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 106.72 (50% fib ), a break below could take the pair towards 106.00(Psychological level).

Equities Recap

European shares rose to a near two-week high on Tuesday, powered by cyclical stocks after latest economic data signalled that business activity in the continent was rebounding faster than expected from a coronavirus-driven slump.

At (GMT 12:00 ),UK's benchmark FTSE 100 was last trading up at 1.44 percent, Germany's Dax was up by 2.54 percent, France’s CAC finished was up by 1.78 percent.

Commodities Recap

Gold prices on Tuesday held firm near a more than one-month peak scaled in the last session, as a rise in coronavirus infections fuelled concerns of a second wave of the pandemic.

Spot gold was up 0.1% to $1,756.70 per ounce at 1154 GMT. On Monday, bullion hit $1,762.84, its highest since May 18. U.S. gold futures were up 0.3% to $1,771.20 per ounce.

Oil prices rose on Tuesday after a volatile session sparked by confusion over the status of the U.S.-China trade deal.

Brent crude rose 49 cents, or 1.1%, to $43.57 a barrel by 0933 GMT, having skidded to a session low of $42.21. U.S. oil was up 48 cents, or 1.2%, at $41.21 a barrel after touching a low of $39.76.

Treasuries Recap

Euro zone bond yields rose as business surveys from France and Germany suggested the continent’s two largest economies are recovering from the depths of the COVID-19 crisis as they come out of lockdown.

Safe haven German 10-year bond yields rose 2 basis points on this news to -0.45% and moved further away from a near one-month high hit overnight.

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