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Emerging Market Crisis Series

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Emerging market economies, such as India, Turkey, Indonesia, LatAm economies which have been a darling of investors even after 2008/09 financial crisis led to cheaper capital access to these economies and its corporates, a trend that continued for more than half a decade at rapid speed. Now, with US Federal Reserve looking to raise borrowing costs and slowdown in China, led these economies and their corporates into greater chaos. We, in this series discuss the vulnerabilities of emerging market.

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Mexico’s core inflation likely to remain soft on MXN depreciation and labor market slack

Feb 10, 2016 05:57 am UTC| Commentary

Mexicos January CPI rose 0.38%, owing to a strong non-core data of 1% 2w/2w in the second half of the month due to higher vegetables and fruits prices. Meanwhile, core inflation eased 0.14% 2w/2w, mainly due to services...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Brazil’s IPCA inflation accelerates in January, likely to have downward trajectory in 2016

Feb 08, 2016 07:00 am UTC| Commentary

Brazils IPCA inflation accelerated 1.27% m/m in January from 0.96% in December. On a yearly basis, it remained at 10.7% in January. The unexpected rise was spread across the groups, with some concentration in the...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Russia’s January CPI inflation slows considerably over base effects, likely to accelerate slightly in Q2

Feb 08, 2016 05:08 am UTC| Commentary

Russias January 2016 CPI inflation decelerated greatly to 9.8% from 12.9% in December. The slowdown in the CPI inflation was mainly due to the base effects as monthly inflation accelerated 1%, equal to the 10-year average....

Currency War Series

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Bank of Mexico holds interest rate, peso’s recent depreciation major threat to inflation

Feb 05, 2016 06:43 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Bank of Mexico kept the interest rate unchanged at 3.25%, on par with expectations. The central bank, in its statement, acknowledges a decline in growth outlook, both domestically and globally, and looks at the recent...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Will Emerging Markets benefit from a cautious Fed?

Feb 03, 2016 15:15 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

The Fed is likely to tighten monetary policy only by as much as markets allow without major turmoil. The FOMC statement showed that the Fed takes the financial market turmoil and the development in China and other emerging...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Demographics likely to continue weighing on Russia’s potential growth

Feb 03, 2016 09:46 am UTC| Commentary Economy

Russias growth is likely to be pulled down due to demographics. The working-age population is likely to continue reducing by 0.3%-0.7% y/y. The participation rate is expected to decline due to ageing of population. A...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

FX Hedging Strategy Series

BRL gains momentary, debt to GDP still a concern – Stay short in USD/BRL FVAs

Feb 02, 2016 11:09 am UTC| Insights & Views

In last quarter, Fitch had downgraded Brazil, following the SPs decision in the summer. This is the second major agency to downgrade Brazil to below investment grade. We believe Moodys will follow and also that additional...

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Economy

Will government investment make green hydrogen a reality in Australia?

In the budget last week, the government was keen to talk about its efforts to turn Australia into a renewable superpower under the umbrella of the Future Made in Australia policies. Future Made is a framework that sets...

Small businesses can help South Africa fight unemployment if they get proper support – study

South Africa has an alarming unemployment rate of approximately 32.1%. Solutions have been elusive. The unemployment rate has been consistently high for decades. Our research has revolved around entrepreneurship. We...

Australia is set to ban live sheep exports. What will this mean for the industry?

This month the federal government announced a plan to ban live sheep exports, set to come into effect from May 1 2028. The announcement coincided with the release of a highly anticipated report by an independent panel...

Latest inflation figures are good news

The U.S. economy is slowing, but not crashing. In the dismal science, this is what counts as good news. Thats the message I took away from the latest inflation data, released May 15, 2024, which showed U.S. consumer...

The budget is full of good news, but good news isn’t the same as good management

This years budget has something for everyone, with very little in the way of cuts and no new taxes. Its a classic good news pre-election budget. Whether it is too good to be true hinges on whether this budget...

Politics

Why the US government is intervening in the live music business and could break up Live Nation Entertainment – a music industry scholar explains

The U.S. Justice Department, along with 29 states and the District of Columbia, have filed an antitrust lawsuit against Live Nation Entertainment, the parent company of Ticketmaster. The lawsuit alleges that Live Nation...

6 ways to foster political discourse on college campuses

With deep divisions on college campuses most recently over the conflict in the Gaza Strip and Israel many observers fear that universities are not places where students can discuss divisive issues with people who...

How Iran selects its supreme leader

The sudden death of President Ebrahim Raisi is unlikely to drastically alter Irans foreign and domestic policies, but it has left a power vacuum. As stipulated by the constitution, Raisi was replaced by his first vice...

Why the upcoming South African election a massive milestone for the ruling ANC

South Africans governing party, the African National Congress (ANC), is in trouble. After 30 years in charge, it is scrambling for support ahead of the upcoming national elections. The ANC has run the country since the...

How Modi is using TV, film and social media to sway voters in India’s election

As the worlds largest electorate goes to the polls in India, political parties are seeking to sway voters through popular culture, like film. Although cinema has long reflected and influenced the countrys political and...

Science

Ancient DNA from an extinct native duck reveals how far birds flew to make New Zealand home

Ask a bird lover if they have heard of the extinct giant moa or its ancient predator, Haasts eagle, and the answer will likely be yes. The same cant be said of New Zealands extinct, but equally unique, mergansers a group...

Black holes are mysterious, yet also deceptively simple − a new space mission may help physicists answer hairy questions about these astronomical objects

Physicists consider black holes one of the most mysterious objects that exist. Ironically, theyre also considered one of the simplest. For years, physicists like me have been looking to prove that black holes are more...

Is dark matter’s main rival theory dead? There’s bad news from the Cassini spacecraft and other recent tests

One of the biggest mysteries in astrophysics today is that the forces in galaxies do not seem to add up. Galaxies rotate much faster than predicted by applying Newtons law of gravity to their visible matter, despite those...

Why are algorithms called algorithms? A brief history of the Persian polymath you’ve likely never heard of

Algorithms have become integral to our lives. From social media apps to Netflix, algorithms learn your preferences and prioritise the content you are shown. Google Maps and artificial intelligence are nothing without...

IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects

About a trillion tiny particles called neutrinos pass through you every second. Created during the Big Bang, these relic neutrinos exist throughout the entire universe, but they cant harm you. In fact, only one of them is...

Technology

Kia EV9 American Production Starts in Georgia, Qualifying for Federal Tax Credit Up to $7,500

Although the three-row Kia EV9 has been a huge success up to this point, it does have one significant drawback: because it is manufactured in Korea, it is not eligible for a tax credit of up to $7,500 unless it is obtained...

Hong Kong Officially Kicks Out All Unlicensed Crypto Exchanges, Enforcing Strict Regulations

Through this regulatory action, the Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) has demonstrated its dedication to promoting a safe and open environment for the trading of virtual assets. Hong Kong Regulators Mandate Crypto...

Ethereum Price Soars Amid $40M Influx: Will the Bullish Trend Continue?

The price of Ethereum has recovered momentum after a period of volatile trading. Its price has recently increased due to increased anticipation following the surprise approval of the Spot Ethereum ETF by the United States...

Shiba Inu Burn Rate Jumps Over 300%, Investors Eye Possible Price Rebound

Shiba Inu experienced a 310.99% burn rate increase on Friday, May 31, causing excitement among traders about a potential price rebound. SHIB Burn Rate Spike Shibburn, a reputable website that meticulously tracks the...

Crypto Losses Surge in 2024 Amid Rising Hacks and Rug Pulls, Report Reveals

A recent report by Immunefi highlights a significant rise in cryptocurrency losses due to hacks and rug pulls in 2024. Despite a bullish market, the sector saw $473 million in losses, underscoring the urgent need for...