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Trading a peg-break/withdrawal has been one of the most successful trades in history. George Soros name went into financial history as he successfully traded peg break of UK pound and German Deutsche Mark earning about a Billion Dollar. These opportunities still persists in modern financial market, evident by 40% appreciation of Euro-Franc in January peg withdrawal by Swiss National Bank. In this series, we hunt for such opportunities.

Fed Liftoff Series

Currency Peg Series

FED liftoff series – Rise of C-Dollar

Dec 16, 2015 10:45 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

D-day is finally here, last FOMC meeting of the year, decision today, in which FED is widely expected to increase rates from zero bound by a hike of 25 basis points, almost a decade after last one. The decision would be...

Currency Peg Series

Renminbi Series

CNY further de-peg from the USD

Dec 14, 2015 15:03 pm UTC| Commentary

The PBoC has launched a new trade-weighted exchange rate for the CNY, called the CFETS RMB Index, with different composition and weights than the BIS currency basket. This move is likely to demonstrate that the CNY will...

Currency Peg Series

USD/CNY to trade at 6.60 by end-2016 despite further de-peg

Dec 14, 2015 07:25 am UTC| Commentary

The central bank of China announced a new currency index last Friday, referred to CFETS RMB Index. The CFETS RMB Index is mainly a trade-weighted exchange rate of the CNY, which is measured against a basket of 13...

Currency Peg Series

Currency War Series

Another dull day from SNB?

Dec 10, 2015 07:01 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Swiss National Bank will announce its monetary policy decisions at 8:30 GMT today. Economic conditions Switzerland GDP is around $ 685 billion however growth rate has sharply slowed down. In third quarter economy...

Currency Peg Series

Currency War Series

Saudi's USD/SAR's peg likely to break?

Nov 24, 2015 05:27 am UTC| Commentary

Off-late oil price declines have driven the speculations higher about the USD/SAR pegs breaking possibility. This is unlikely. 12 month forwards are already setting to price in SAR weakness. This clearly signals that...

Currency Peg Series

RMB’s peg to USD will have to go probably sooner

Oct 26, 2015 06:52 am UTC| Commentary

The PBoC is getting better and better at seizing the right timing for monetary policy easing. This move is clearly responding to the still weak growth data released earlier. Modest inflationary pressures, as indicated by...

Currency Peg Series

Sniffing a peg break series - HKD peg under pressure, trapped in FED hike and Chinese slowdown

Oct 13, 2015 11:18 am UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

For almost a month Hong Kong Dollar peg is under strain on the strong side, prompting authorities to intervene in the market. Though, theoretically a central bank can protect a peg, on strong domestic currency side by...

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Economy

What if the Reserve Bank itself has been feeding inflation? An economist explains

Heres something for the board of the Reserve Bank of Australia to ponder as it meets next month to set interest rates. It has pushed up rates on 13 occasions since it began its attempt to restrain inflation in May...

China’s new world order: looking for clues from Xi’s recent meetings with foreign leaders

There is broad consensus that Chinese foreign policy has become more assertive and more centralised in the decade since Xi Jinping has ascended to the top of Chinas leadership. This has also meant that Chinese foreign...

How India’s economy has fared under ten years of Narendra Modi

More than 960 million Indians will head to the polls in the worlds biggest election between April 19 and early June. The ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), which is led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi, is seeking a third...

Will global oil supply be at risk if Iran and Israel pull the Middle East into war?

Tensions in the Middle East have escalated following Irans weekend missile and drone attacks on Israel, heightening concerns of a wider conflict. As with the Russian invasion of Ukraine, further conflict has the...

EU enlargement: What does the future hold?

To widen or to deepen. This has been one of the longstanding dilemmas throughout European Union (EU) history, and a perennial sticking point in the unending process of European integration. In its time, the UK...

Politics

Georgia is sliding towards autocracy after government moves to force through bill on ‘foreign agents’

Georgias ruling party attempted to pass a controversial bill on foreign agents in March 2023. The law would have required civil society groups and the media to register as being under foreign influence if they receive...

South Korean President Yoon faces foreign policy challenges after the National Assembly election

South Koreas parliamentary election of April 10, 2024, was widely seen as a referendum on President Yoon Suk Yeols first two years in office. That being the case, the nation collectively expressed its strong...

How will US foreign policy affect Joe Biden’s chances of re-election in November?

When big questions about American foreign policy collide with an election, its rarely good news for a sitting president. Like many leaders before him, US President Joe Biden has had some of these questions thrust on...

US Commerce Secretary Asserts Huawei Chip Lag, Affirms Export Control Success

In an interview on CBS News 60 Minutes, Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo stated that the latest Huawei Mate 60 Pro phones chip remains significantly behind U.S. technology despite being the most advanced from China. She...

‘We have thousands of Modis’: the secret behind the BJP’s enduring success in India

Since 2014, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modis popularity has grown exponentially and so has the formidable organisational machine of his Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). These two factors will be key to delivering the BJP...

Science

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Peter Higgs was one of the greats of particle physics. He transformed what we know about the building blocks of the universe

Peter Higgs, who gave his name to the subatomic particle known as the Higgs boson, has died aged 94. He was always a modest man, especially when considering that he was one of the greats of particle physics the area of...

Could a telescope ever see the beginning of time? An astronomer explains

The James Webb Space Telescope, or JWST for short, is one of the most advanced telescopes ever built. Planning for JWST began over 25 years ago, and construction efforts spanned over a decade. It was launched into space on...

US media coverage of new science less likely to mention researchers with African and East Asian names

When one Chinese national recently petitioned the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services to become a permanent resident, he thought his chances were pretty good. As an accomplished biologist, he figured that news...

If life exists on Jupiter’s moon Europa, scientists might soon be able to detect it

Europa is one of the largest of more than 90 moons in orbit around the planet Jupiter. It is also one of the best places to look for alien life. Often termed an ocean world by scientists, observations to date strongly...

Technology

Bitcoin Surges Globally, Yen Hits Record Low Against Cryptocurrency

In a stunning financial shift, the Japanese yen has reached a 34-year low against Bitcoin, which also hit all-time highs in 14 countries, fueled by optimism surrounding new spot Bitcoin ETFs. Yen Hits 34-Year Low as...

Worldcoin Targets OpenAI Alliance, Faces Scrutiny Amid Regulatory Challenges

Worldcoin, a digital identification innovator, is eyeing a partnership with OpenAI despite facing regulatory scrutiny and data privacy concerns. The collaboration aims to bolster its technological advancements and market...

SHIB Community Ignites Burn Rate by 2,076% Following Major Announcement

The Shiba Inu community has dramatically increased the SHIB burn rate by 2,076% in response to a recent significant announcement, signaling a proactive shift in strategy. Shiba Inu Community Ramps Up Token Burns,...

Toyota Teams with Tencent, Nissan Joins Forces with Baidu in China AI Drive

The automakers announced on Thursday that Nissan will partner with Baidu and Toyota Motor of Japan will partner with Tencent of China. These cross-border alliances underscore the significance of artificial intelligence to...
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