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FxWirePro: NZD/USD hovers around 0.69 handle, trade fears and looming RBNZ could weigh further

  • NZD/USD hovers around 0.69 handle, trade fears and looming RBNZ could weigh further on the major. 
     
  • Risk recovery is facing challenges early in the week on news of escalating US-China trade issues.
     
  • Reports that Trump administration is planning to block Chinese companies from investing in US technology companies is keeping trades wary. 
     
  • These measures, if announced, may spur more retaliation from China and could lead to a long drawn out trade war.
     
  • The pair could continue to decline ahead of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) next showing.
     
  • The RBNZ (due Wed),  is expected to keep cash rate steady at 1.75% with little change in the policy statements.
     
  • Majority of economists polled by Reuters also expect the central bank to remain unchanged on rates well into Q4 2019.
     
  • The pair has ignored Doji formation at lows, struggles to extend upside above 5-DMA.
     
  • Price action remains below daily cloud and major moving averages, break below major trendline support at 0.6870 could see further weakness.

Support levels - 0.6886 (5-DMA), 0.6870 (Trendline), 0.6825 (June 25 low)

Resistance levels - 0.69, 0.6979 (21-EMA), 0.70

FxWirePro Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's Hourly NZD Spot Index was at -17.4285 (Neutral), while Hourly USD Spot Index was at -97.4635 (Bearish) at 0545 GMT. For more details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex
 

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